THE WORLD IN 2052
THE WORLD IN 2052
Humanity has made immense
progress over the last few decades. The starting point for setting a future's
agenda can be anchored in a healthier, better educated, more prosperous, and
better informed and connected world than ever.
The world in 2052 can be a
much safer and resilient place than it is today. Humanity has the
opportunities, the tools, the science, technology and the insight to overcome
the systemic crisis and to move into a better world. Whether we manage to do so
will depend on each one of us.
1. Global limits, a systemic
crisis and its root causes
There is no doubt that the
world has been crossing and continues to cross planetary limits. The
consequence is a series of crises faced by our global society.
2. An emerging movement and opportunities
as never seen before
We are faced with the
necessity to evolve towards new and higher social systems that are needed to
effectively manage higher levels of technological capability, globalization of
society, greater human mobility, etc. We should not focus on what seems to have
been lost, but on what humanity has until now never possessed.
A groundswell of a global
movement seems to be building up as millions of people are actively engaged in
building a global society, which is sustainable, just and equitable. What
unites them is a vision for a better world, one where humanity lives in peace
with nature and itself, a world which can be called "sustainable and equitable", a world which would be
much more secure, stable and habitable than the one we are living in today.
3. 2052: what will the future
hold?
Over the next 40 years the
world population is likely to grow from close to 7 billion to 9.5 billion
people, with a corresponding increase in demand for energy, land, water and
food, resulting possibly in a tripling of GDP. It is assumed that the
population will level off at around 9.5 billion in 2045 - a unique era in human
history.
We maximize our chances that,
by 2052, in 40 years' time, we can look back and understand that we have
succeeded in transiting into a fundamentally more sustainable, equitable and
peaceful world by
·
Redefining the values which effectively guide the development of society
·
Developing a new economy, both in theory and practice, so that
·
natural and social capital are correctly valued new financial markets
·
deliver the goods and services mankind needs in and for a sustainable
world
·
sufficient jobs are created to allow a decent income for all
·
Creating appropriate governance institutions on a global, national and
local level.
4. Values
Values change as society
develops and evolves, as its members become more conscious, informed,
experienced, capable, and confident. We no longer live in a world where
competitive pursuit of individual self-interest, excessive wasteful accumulation
and inequitable consumption that disregards the impact on other people and
societies can be sustained.
Darwinian laws of the jungle
are indefensible in the interconnected globalized world of the 21st century.
Humanity's future prosperity will depend on our realization that universal and
equitable distribution of all aspects of social capacity, opportunity and
security is the most essential and effective means for promoting peace,
prosperity and maximum welfare and well-being in the future.
The issue of values needs to
move more prominently into the forefront of the debate on both a personal and
institutional level.
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